
Suppose the payoff to each parent of babies is +15, and the total cost of raising babies is −20. Suppose the cost of a long courtship is −3 to each player. What would this figures lead to? If a coy female meets a faithful male there would be an equal net gain of 15-3-(20/2) = 2 points for each player. If a coy female meets a philanderer nothing happens and both gets zero points. If a fast female meets a faithful man both get 15-(20/2)=5 points. If a fast female meets a philanderer the female will gain 15-20= -5 points while the philanderer gains 15 points.
Looking for equilibrium, what would the relation be between the number of faithful and philandering males? This fraction can be calculated from the fact that a mixed strategy would be optimal when the expected payoff from either coy fast females are equal. Suppose the males are faithful with probability x, we would then have a probability (1-x) for the philanderers. Setting up the expected gain for the females we would have
Coy: 2*x + 0*(1-x) = 2x
Fast: 5*x + (-5)*(1-x) = 10x-5
From this we get x = 5/8 and (1-x)=3/8. So for every 8 males there would be 5 faithful ones and 3 philanderers.
Doing the same calculation for the expected gain for the men with x being the probability to encounter a coy female and (1-x) the probability to encounter a fast one
Faithful: 2*x + 5*(1-x) = 5-3x
Philanderer: 0*x + 15*(1-x) = 15-15x
From this we get x = 5/6 and (1-x) = 1/6. So for every 6 females there would be 5 coy ones and 1 fast one.
The interesting thing with this result is that it is not Pareto-optimal with regard to males and females as a whole. Not Pareto-optimal means that both parties can change strategies and gain more. With the figures above the net gain for the females is 5/4 points and 5/2 points for the males. If all females were fast and all men were faithful the parties would have a net gain of 5 points. Both males and females would struggle to get out of this mess. It is tough to be a bird.
More in depth info about this can be found in 'The selfish gene' by Richard Dawkins.
1 comment:
I always wondered how this would work if you threw in today's modern technology. Let's say you consider contraception and abortion as variables, would all males and females be philandering and fast?
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